Applied Superforecasting

April 16, 2024

Speaker: Warren Hatch (Good Judgement Inc.)

Abstract:

Every decision is a forecast: we take actions that we believe will improve the probability of a desired outcome. As a process, Superforecasting can measurably improve the accuracy of individuals and teams while helping to improve the flow of information within organizations. This presentation will review new research findings on the forecasting frontier and illustrate their application with use cases in the private and public sectors.